It’s a gambling wonderland in Britain this weekend.   Tomorrow is Derby day with a side helping of UFC in the evening.   I’m not giving tips on the gee-gees but instead I’m looking at two MMA matches and a boxing match which I hope will turn around my slow decline. Read the rest of this entry »

Sorry for the briefness this week and lack of betting analysis, but time is running short. I’ll update the scores after the event.

Baroni - £25 - evens with Sportsbook

Should Baroni’s groin be healed, he should actually get somewhere in this fight. Villasenor is decent enough but, unlike Baroni, I think he’s a steady second-tier operator. Baroni is inconsistent but I feel his top game is better. It’s a gamble but I’m going with Baroni.

Miguel Torres - £50 - -385 with BetCRIS

Torres is just excellent and I want to back him, evethough the profit margin is very low. Maeda is good, it should be a decent match but Torres can be the hammer and the nail.

So Farrow and I both threw down huge sums at the weekend one of us was more successful than the other. My eagerness to post this review may give some indication as to who that was.

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Last Week

No winners
Two losers - (£55)
Total profit / loss = (£55)

Starting balance - £1,028.00
Balance carried forward - £973.00

Why do they always have to let you down. Junior “the Sh*tter” Witter. I’ve stuck up for you, I’ve watched all your fights, even the very boring ones. The one time I lay money on you, you let me down. Well, we’re done. When some idiot says you’re a rubbish boxer, I will no longer defend you. Timothy Bradley put a good performance in but Witter let himself down and cost me money.

On the other bet, I should have gone for Nakamura. I backed Jung slightly against my better judgement and I was made to pay. Oh well, can’t win them all.

Worse still, I sat on my hands last week when I just knew Gianluca Branco, out at something like 3.5, would beat Colin Lynes. £50 on that and I’d have been a very happy man.

This Week:

KEITH JARDINE vs. Wanderlei Silva - Pinnacle Sports - £33 @ +156 (2.56)

It’s a fight which divides opinion but when he can get into a fight and fight at his pace, Jardine is very difficult to beat. Wanderlei hasn’t looked the same guy and while I hate writing people off, it’s difficult to see him fighting aggressively to generate the pressure to pull Jardine out of his comfort zone. If Jardine respects Silva and fights the smart fight, I can see him beating Wandy and for positive odds, I think it’s worth a punt.

LYOTO MACHIDA vs. Tito Ortiz - Betfair - £40 @ 1.52 (-191)

I am stuck on this one. I am backing Machida but in the back of my mind there are doubts. Part of me says that Tito is somewhat of a relic; ground and pound from within the guard, relying on distant takedowns, losing the few little things that seperated him from the rest. However, you can’t stop thinking he still has a little of the magic. So I drunk a few jars and thought about it a lot and came to the conclusion that competition has moved on. You can’t get away with beating Elvis Sinosic or beefed-up middleweights nowadays and Lyoto is the (dull) future.

Summary:

JARDINE - £33 @ +156 on Pinnacle Sports
MACHIDA - £40 @ 1.52 on Betfair

Current Balance - £973.00
Potential profit - £72.28
Potential loss - (£73)

We return! After a week off because of the lack of places offering odds on Shooto and neither of us fancying any of the De La Hoya markets, we are back. WILL I ACTUALLY GO BROKE THIS WEEK?

Discussed are DREAM 3 and the weekend’s boxing. No place seems interested in offering Cage Rage odds.

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After a hugely successful debut edition, Farrow and I return with new picks and lessons learned from last week’s debacle (in my case). Read on if you want to win some currency on DREAM~!

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I had the idea of doing a betting column on this site and finally decided to actually put it into practice.

The concept is pretty simple. Two of us each start with the proverbial thousand nicker, as Farrow is a cockney, (£1,000 to those not familiar) and each week we select a couple of bets that seem like value to us and see how it goes. The bets can relate to MMA, Boxing, K-1 or anything of that ilk. So here we go with week one…

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