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Betting Preview - Farrow - 6th June 08

Posted by Michael Farrow on June 6th, 2008

Marcus Davis punching Paul Taylor

It’s a gambling wonderland in Britain this weekend.   Tomorrow is Derby day with a side helping of UFC in the evening.   I’m not giving tips on the gee-gees but instead I’m looking at two MMA matches and a boxing match which I hope will turn around my slow decline.

Last week

One winner - £12.99
One loser - (£25)
Total profit/loss - (£12.01)

Starting balance - £960.80
Balance carried forward - £948.79

A continuing theme with my betting is that I am either being too conservative on one bet or not conservative enough. I’m an idiot for backing Baroni, especially given how good odds I could have got on Villasenor. Torres was a no-brainer but Maeda gave him a good run until his eye swelled shut. This week, I’m going to be foolhardy I think.

This week

MARCUS DAVIS vs. Mike Swick - Pinnacle Sports - £30 @ +106 (2.06)

In a fight that seemingly no handicapper wants to set fair odds for, Pinnacle stick their necks out on this one and favoured Swick.   Davis is on a long winning streak but Swick represents the toughest test he’s faced since… well Melvin Guillard I’d say.   Still, I don’t think Swick looks comfortable at this weight and Davis has shown excellent hands and an ever-rounding game.

JESS LIAUDIN vs. Paul Taylor - Pinnacle Sports - £20 @ +206 (3.06)

I really like Liaudin at this price.  Good submissions, decent on his feet and I feel that Taylor will get shown up on the ground.   Liaudin’s real weakness is ground and pound and I don’t see that from Taylor.   I just don’t think Taylor’s a big enough…. anything to be this heavily favoured.

SOULEYMANE M’BAYE vs. Herman Ngoudjo - Skybet - £30 @ 3.25 (+225)

Gut feeling is one of life’s mysteries but I can’t help but think that Souleymane M’Baye is going to continue his career rehabilitation after the humiliating loss to a Welsh midget.   It could go either way in my mind but M’Baye’s odds are so long that I can’t help but place some money on him.

Summary:

DAVIS - £30 @ +106 on Pinnacle Sports
LIAUDIN - £20 @ +206 on Pinnacle Sports
M’BAYE - £30 @ 3.25 on Skybet

Current Balance - £948.79
Potential profit - £140.50
Potential loss - (£80)

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