Last Week

No winners
Two losers - (£55)
Total profit / loss = (£55)

Starting balance - £1,028.00
Balance carried forward - £973.00

Why do they always have to let you down. Junior “the Sh*tter” Witter. I’ve stuck up for you, I’ve watched all your fights, even the very boring ones. The one time I lay money on you, you let me down. Well, we’re done. When some idiot says you’re a rubbish boxer, I will no longer defend you. Timothy Bradley put a good performance in but Witter let himself down and cost me money.

On the other bet, I should have gone for Nakamura. I backed Jung slightly against my better judgement and I was made to pay. Oh well, can’t win them all.

Worse still, I sat on my hands last week when I just knew Gianluca Branco, out at something like 3.5, would beat Colin Lynes. £50 on that and I’d have been a very happy man.

This Week:

KEITH JARDINE vs. Wanderlei Silva - Pinnacle Sports - £33 @ +156 (2.56)

It’s a fight which divides opinion but when he can get into a fight and fight at his pace, Jardine is very difficult to beat. Wanderlei hasn’t looked the same guy and while I hate writing people off, it’s difficult to see him fighting aggressively to generate the pressure to pull Jardine out of his comfort zone. If Jardine respects Silva and fights the smart fight, I can see him beating Wandy and for positive odds, I think it’s worth a punt.

LYOTO MACHIDA vs. Tito Ortiz - Betfair - £40 @ 1.52 (-191)

I am stuck on this one. I am backing Machida but in the back of my mind there are doubts. Part of me says that Tito is somewhat of a relic; ground and pound from within the guard, relying on distant takedowns, losing the few little things that seperated him from the rest. However, you can’t stop thinking he still has a little of the magic. So I drunk a few jars and thought about it a lot and came to the conclusion that competition has moved on. You can’t get away with beating Elvis Sinosic or beefed-up middleweights nowadays and Lyoto is the (dull) future.

Summary:

JARDINE - £33 @ +156 on Pinnacle Sports
MACHIDA - £40 @ 1.52 on Betfair

Current Balance - £973.00
Potential profit - £72.28
Potential loss - (£73)